Back to News
marketsAugust 28, 20263 min read

NVIDIA Earnings Tonight 10:30 PM Berlin — $94B Expected, $800M in Hedge Fund Bets

Hedge funds bet $800 million on extreme NVIDIA price moves today — the largest single-earnings options setup of the year.

Daniel Berg
Daniel Berg·Editor-in-Chief

The Biggest Number of the Day

Tonight at 10:30 PM Berlin time, NVIDIA releases its quarterly earnings. Wall Street expects $94 billion in revenue — an 89 percent increase compared to last year. For context: that's more quarterly revenue than the entire German automotive industry generates.

What the Pros Are Doing

Professional investors have poured over $800 million into NVIDIA options in the last 48 hours. These are bets that the stock will move violently tonight after the numbers — either sharply up or sharply down. The anticipation is as intense as it gets for an earnings event.

If CEO Jensen Huang beats expectations AND raises guidance for the next quarter, analysts expect a tech-sector rally on Friday. If he disappoints, the entire AI rally could wobble.

What This Means for You

If you own tech ETFs or tech stocks — Apple, Microsoft, Amazon — you're watching tonight too. NVIDIA sets the tempo for the entire artificial intelligence industry. Many analysts say: if NVIDIA goes up, the others follow. If NVIDIA falls, they fall too.

You don't have to do anything. But you should know: tomorrow morning your portfolio might look different than tonight. Not because you made a mistake, but because a single CEO in a conference room in California reads his numbers out loud.

How Pros React

Experienced investors often do nothing before events like this. They know: betting on short-term moves is gambling. Some use the opportunity to buy the dip when panic hits — but only if they believe in the company long-term.

A few have hedged with protection strategies: bets that the price will fall. Not because they're pessimistic, but because they want to insure their existing investment against a possible shock. Like insurance.

First Steps for Beginners

If this is your first time watching an event like this: don't panic-trade. No matter what happens tonight — stock prices move. That's normal. Anyone who buys or sells after every move almost always loses in the end.

My own lesson: I was in your shoes in the year 2000. I bought the Deutsche Telekom share at a hundred euros because everyone said "it only goes up". It fell to eight euros. I sold — at the bottom. That was my most expensive mistake. Today I know: patience beats haste.

If you have a solid portfolio — broadly diversified, long-term horizon — you can watch calmly tonight. And tomorrow you'll know more.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not an indicator of future results.

Sources

BeInOptions Research

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are NVIDIA's earnings so important today?

Wall Street expects $94 billion in revenue — an 89% increase year-over-year. NVIDIA sets the tempo for the entire AI industry. If the numbers disappoint, it could halt the tech rally.

What do the $800M in options bets mean?

Hedge funds invested over $800 million in NVIDIA options in the last 48 hours. These are bets on extreme price moves — either sharply up or sharply down. Largest single-earnings options setup of the year.

Should I sell my tech stocks before the numbers?

No. Panic selling is almost always the worst decision. If you're invested long-term, a single quarter doesn't change your strategy. Pros hedge at most — but they don't sell everything.

Key Options Terms

A quick refresher on the terms that keep coming up in options stories like this one.

Implied Volatility (IV)
The volatility the market expects. Rising IV makes options more expensive; falling IV makes them cheaper. IV guide
The Greeks
Delta, Gamma, Theta and Vega measure how an option reacts to price, time and volatility. Greeks explained
Open Interest
The number of open contracts. Heavy open interest at a strike flags an important price level. Read the chain
Premium
The price of an option. Sellers collect it; buyers pay it for the right to trade. Basics
Exercise & Assignment
What happens at expiration when an in-the-money option is actually settled. Learn more
Defined Risk
Strategies such as spreads where the maximum loss is known from the outset. Strategies

Options & the News – Quick Answers

How do stories like this move option prices?

News mostly works through expected movement: when uncertainty rises, so does implied volatility and therefore premium – often regardless of direction.

Do I have to bet on direction to benefit?

No. Defined-risk strategies such as the iron condor or a covered call trade volatility and time value rather than an exact direction.

I am a beginner – where should I start?

Start with our beginners guide and the glossary before putting real capital to work.

Daniel Berg

Editor-in-Chief

Options Educator

20++ Years

Daniel Berg is an ordinary guy from a mid-sized German city. He spent over twenty years in sales at a mid-cap machinery company – finance was never his profession, it was his expensive lesson. In 2000 he put his first savings into Deutsche Telekom's "people's share", buying near €100 and watching it fall to €8. He burned more money on the Neuer Markt afterwards. Only in his mid-thirties did he start the boring, patient way – broad ETFs, patience, no hot tips. At BeInOptions, Daniel passes on exactly that lesson: no miracle returns, just plain-spoken education about options, risk and long-term investing. "I don't sell dreams. I explain the tools – and the mistakes I made myself."

Expertise:Long-Term InvestingOptions EducationRisk AwarenessETF PortfoliosBehavioral Finance
Verified Expert
View Profile

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.