On Wednesday, August 26, 2026, at 10 PM CET, something the entire financial world is waiting for will happen: NVIDIA reports its quarterly earnings.
The Story Behind It
NVIDIA has grown from $360 billion to $5.4 trillion in market value in two years. That is more than Germany's entire GDP. The reason: their chips are needed everywhere artificial intelligence runs from ChatGPT to self-driving cars.
Now analysts expect revenue of $28.7 billion for the last quarter. That would be over 50 percent growth compared to last year. Sounds good but that is exactly where the problem lies.
What This Means for You
If you own NVIDIA shares today, you are sitting on a gold mine or a powder keg. The stock is at $219. Some analysts say: if the numbers are good, it goes to $230 or even $300. Others warn: if expectations are not met, the stock could lose 15 percent or more.
If you have a broad ETF (MSCI World, S&P 500), you automatically have NVIDIA in it usually with 3 to 5 percent weighting. That means: if NVIDIA crashes on August 26, you will feel it in your ETF too.
How Pros Are Reacting
Large investors are doing two things at once: they are buying NVIDIA shares because they believe in further growth and they are buying protection in case it goes wrong. In the last two weeks, options worth over $1.8 billion have been traded on NVIDIA. That is a record.
Part of these pros are betting on an upward jump. Another part is hedging against a crash. Both sides cannot be right at the same time.
First Steps for Beginners
If you have never invested in stocks and now think I will quickly buy NVIDIA before the numbers stop. That is gambling, not investing. Even pros do not know how the numbers will turn out. And even if the numbers are good, the stock can still fall because expectations were even higher.
Better: wait for the numbers. Watch how the stock reacts. And if you want to invest in tech long-term, buy a broad ETF not a single stock. That way you are in, without putting everything on one card.
I was at exactly this point in 2000: bought the T-share at 100 euros because everyone said it only goes up. The stock fell to 8 euros. Since then I have invested differently: broadly diversified, long-term, no bets on single events.
Note: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not an indicator of future results.