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market_reality_checkApril 29, 20261 min read

Alphabet Calls: IV 100%+, Expected Move Only ±4.8%

Alphabet calls with IV 100%+, but expected move only ±4.8% – significantly less than MSFT, META, AMZN. Volatility mispricing or smart money position?

BeInOptions Team
BeInOptions Team·Options Trading Experts
**MARKET REALITY CHECK** Alphabet reports earnings after US market close today. Options markets are pricing in implied volatility above 100% – yet the expected move is only ±4.8%. For comparison: Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon all expect moves between ±6.2% and ±6.4%. Alphabet already ran up +26% in April. **What does this mean?** - Either options traders expect less surprise from Google than the other tech giants - Or it's a classic volatility mispricing - Smart money might already be positioned **For options traders:** The lower expected move combined with high IV could be an interesting setup. Get the direction right and you win – but IV crush will hit hard after earnings. The next few hours will show if the market was right.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.